Predictive Rate of Victory

2026 Season

Predictive Rate of Victory measures how often a given indicator predicts victory, i.e., how often teams better in a given indicator beat their opponent that week. You’ll notice that Predictive Rate of Victory grows stronger later in the year, as we develop a critical mass of data.

Quality Stats
Week	DPR	RQRD	DHI	DRPYPA	RPYPA	OHI	ORR	SCOR	BEND	DQBR	PRD
Week 2	8 - 8	9 - 7	5 - 11	7 - 9	9 - 6	7 - 9	7 - 9	8 - 8	9 - 7	7 - 9	9 - 7
Week 3	7 - 9	9 - 7	10 - 6	5 - 11	5 - 11	10 - 6	11 - 5	10 - 6	8 - 8	8 - 8	8 - 8
Week 4	11 - 5	13 - 3	7 - 9	11 - 5	12 - 4	8 - 8	9 - 7	9 - 7	11 - 5	11 - 5	13 - 3
Week 5	7 - 7	11 - 3	7 - 7	10 - 4	10 - 4	5 - 7	9 - 5	9 - 5	8 - 6	8 - 6	9 - 5
Regular Season	33 - 29	42 - 20	29 - 33	33 - 29	36 - 25	30 - 30	36 - 26	36 - 26	36 - 26	34 - 28	39 - 23
Rate	53%	68%	47%	53%	59%	50%	58%	58%	58%	55%	63%
Regular Season	33 - 29	42 - 20	29 - 33	33 - 29	36 - 25	30 - 30	36 - 26	36 - 26	36 - 26	34 - 28	39 - 23
Rate	53%	68%	47%	53%	59%	50%	58%	58%	58%	55%	63%

Quality Stats
Week	TTY	RRD	QS	REL	Overall	OPR	TTYD	DRR	TTYA	QBR
Week 2	7 - 9	9 - 7	5 - 11	0 - 0	8 - 8	7 - 9	7 - 9	8 - 8	6 - 9	9 - 7
Week 3	8 - 8	11 - 5	11 - 5	8 - 8	9 - 7	9 - 7	6 - 10	8 - 8	5 - 11	8 - 8
Week 4	9 - 7	9 - 7	10 - 6	11 - 5	12 - 4	10 - 6	10 - 6	7 - 9	8 - 8	11 - 5
Week 5	8 - 6	7 - 7	12 - 2	10 - 4	10 - 4	10 - 4	8 - 6	5 - 9	6 - 8	10 - 4
Regular Season	32 - 30	36 - 26	38 - 24	29 - 17	39 - 23	36 - 26	31 - 31	28 - 34	25 - 36	38 - 24
Rate	52%	58%	61%	63%	63%	58%	50%	45%	41%	61%
All Games	32 - 30	36 - 26	38 - 24	29 - 17	39 - 23	36 - 26	31 - 31	28 - 34	25 - 36	38 - 24
Rate	52%	58%	61%	63%	63%	58%	50%	45%	41%	61%

Commonly Used Stats
Week	PYds	RYds	RY/A	PY/A	Int	NPP%	3rd%
Week 2	9 - 6	6 - 10	8 - 8	9 - 6	1 - 10	5 - 10	10 - 6
Week 3	5 - 11	11 - 4	9 - 7	5 - 11	3 - 4	10 - 5	8 - 7
Week 4	12 - 4	10 - 6	9 - 7	12 - 4	5 - 7	7 - 8	7 - 9
Week 5	10 - 4	7 - 7	7 - 7	10 - 4	9 - 4	7 - 7	5 - 7
Regular Season	36 - 25	34 - 27	33 - 29	36 - 25	18 - 25	29 - 30	30 - 29
Rate	59%	56%	53%	59%	42%	49%	51%
All Games	36 - 25	34 - 27	33 - 29	36 - 25	18 - 25	29 - 30	30 - 29
Rate	59%	56%	53%	59%	42%	49%	51%