This indicator ranks teams from top to bottom based off the other 21 quality stats. Some stats are better than others regarding correlation to victory, but the Quality Stats Power Rankings treat all metrics equally.
The Quality Standings track a team’s record against quality opponents, ie. Teams with records over .500. The true test of a team is how they play against solid opponents, therefore, the Quality Standings are very important to view before placing bets.
This quantifies how well teams play “situational football.” It measures the team’s ability to turn yards into points, taking into account special teams, field position, red zone offense, and turnover differential.
This quantifies the “bend but don’t break defense” and measures how well defenses play in “situational football.” The best teams in terms of bendability don’t give up many yards per point.
This indicator separates smart, efficient, well-coached teams from dumb, inefficient, poorly coached teams. Bendability (Yards Per Point Allowed) – Scoreability (Yards Per Point Scored) = Intelligence The best teams make opponents work for points and score with ease.
The Quality Standings track a team’s record against quality opponents, ie. Teams with records over .500. A quarterback’s average per attempt has an incredibly high correlation to success, often close to 80 percent in a given season. It rewards quarterbacks that get the ball downfield, but also don’t take sacks.
The defensive counterpart of real passing yards per attempt. This factors in a team's ability to limit an aerial attack combined with how well they get to the quarterback.
Real Quarterback Rating is the primary indicator in championship football teams. This includes rushing attempts, rushing yards, rushing TDs, fumbles and sacks to produce a new kind of rating that measures a quarterback’s overall performance with the ball, going above the traditional passer rating.
Real Defensive Quarterback Rating measures how opposing quarterbacks perform against a given team not just passing, but also rushing. It takes fumbles, rushes, rushing yards, and sacks to measure how well a defense defends opposing quarterbacks.
Real Quarterback Rating - Defensive Real Quarterback Rating = Differential. It shows how well-rounded a team is on offense and defense.
Offensive Passer Rating is merely the commonly used measure of quarterbacks, applied to the entire team, so it measures the performance of each quarterback on the roster. Higher correlation to victory than traditional volume stats.
Defensive Passer Rating shows how well a defense defends a quarterback's aerial attack. It has a much higher Correlation to Victory than volume stats, such as passing yards allowed.
Offensive Passer Rating - Defensive Passer Rating = Differential
Quantifies which teams have the best offensive line in the NFL. Uses three categories to determine the final ranking: Rush yards/attempt, negative pass play percentage, and 3rd down success rate.
Quantifies which teams have the best front sevens in the NFL. Secondary also is factored into the equation indirectly through 3rd down success rate. Uses three categories to determine the final ranking: Rush yards/attempt, negative pass play percentage, and 3rd down success rate.
Measures the performance of each team relative to the performance of its opponents in all other games. You should pay attention to the Relativity Index because it's the indicator we use to adjust for the quality of each team's competition.
The sum of an opponent’s yards, kick return yards, punt return yards, fumble return yards, and interception return yards.
The sum of yards, kick return yards, punt return yards, fumble return yards, and interception return yards.
Yards - Yards conceded = Differential
Measures how well a team runs the football. The final rating is based on the team’s rushing yards, attempts, touchdowns, and fumbles lost in a game.
Measures how well a team defends the run. The final rating is based on how many yards and touchdowns a team allows, along with fumbles lost.
Offensive Rusher Rating - Defensive Rusher Rating = Differential
Correlation to Victory measures how often teams win games when they win a given statistical battle in that game. Winning the statistical battle in a game is key to winning games, making Correlation to Victory vital for betting knowledge.
Predictive Rate of Victory measures how often a given indicator predicts victory, i.e., how often teams better in a given indicator beat their opponent that week. This stat grows stronger as the season develops.