Props are the best way to beat the book, especially with the addition of same-game parlays. After six weeks of games, big-time players have stepped up, and others have faded. This makes prop betting great because of the bulk of knowledge we have heading into the weekend.
Here are my favorite props for the seventh week of NFL action.
Mac Jones Over 247.5 Passing Yards
If you view the game analysis for the Jets and Patriots game on Sunday, you will see a lot of green on New England’s side. These types of matchups are the best to target for prop betting because the advantages are so evident.
Mac Jones has been sensational in the pocket throughout the 2021 season for a rookie. There were critics who did not think he should have gone in the first round, but Jones is proving his worth with New England.
The Jets have the 17th ranked defensive passer rating in the NFL. Jones has been under 247.5 for the past two weeks, but Josh McDaniels is instilling more trust in the quarterback.
This should be the perfect week for Jones to stretch the field and have success at the same time. Additionally, New York fairs well with their defensive hog index, so I expect New England to attack the Jets through the air.
Aaron Rodgers Over 253.5 Passing Yards
Aaron Rodgers’ passing yardage prop is very generous for Sunday’s matchup against Washington. Rodgers only threw the ball 23 times against a strong Bears defense in Week 6.
Washington was expected to be efficient on defense, but they have been far from it in 2021. Washington is stronger against the run than the pass as they rank 26th in defensive passer rating.
Their defensive effort has been atrocious, so I expect Rodgers to have a big day throwing the ball.
Matthew Stafford Under 23.5 Completions
The Rams have been through the wringer early in the 2021 season. They have played a very tough schedule and had many marquee wins. A major reason for their success has been Matthew Stafford.
Stafford is more dynamic than Jared Goff, and he can throw the ball downfield. Stafford will likely light up the Lions on Sunday, but I think he will stay under his completion total.
Detroit has the worst defensive passer rating in football, but if the game goes as expected, the Rams will sit on the football. Stafford should have a massive first half and then pull back in the second.
In games against bad teams, Stafford has stayed under this total. Last week against the Giants, the quarterback completed 22 passes in a 38-11 win.
Jalen Hurts Over 44.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
Jalen Hurts has been electrifying at times for the Eagles, but most of his production has occurred through his legs. For Philadelphia to have a chance this week, Hurts will need to run the football in Las Vegas.
Hurts will line up against the Raiders, who have the 24th ranked defensive rusher rating in the NFL. This is a recipe for numerous explosive plays on Saturday.
Best of luck with your prop bets!