The Cold, Hard Football Facts have successfully predicted the outcome of NFL games and seasons for over 20 years. Our stats get stronger as the season develops, and we have two Sunday props to target within the numbers.

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The first pick we're taking is Josh Allen Over 224.5 passing yards. The Ravens defense has a reputation for being physical, but Allen's line is too low on Sunday. He has exceeded this prop in two games, but hasn't even played in the second half the last two weeks. 

Baltimore will be more competitive than Jacksonville or Miami, so expect Allen to be under center for 60 minutes. While the Ravens have made big stops on defense this season, they haven't been efficient defending the pass. 

The Ravens are 21st in Defensive Passer Rating and 20th in Defensive Real Quarterback Rating. They're also 26th in Defensive Real Passing Yards/Attempt. Khalil Shakir has been fantastic this season, Dalton Kincaid is coming off a big game, and James Cook is a receiving threat out of the backfield. 

The Ravens won't have answers for the Bills if Allen plays like he did in the first three games. 

The next prop we're going with is Jordan Love Under 242.5 passing yards. Love's total is too high against the Vikings, who have looked very strong on defense. Minnesota is being overhyped offensively, but their defensive success checks out based on our proprietary stats. 

Minnesota is 6th in Defensive Passer Rating and 8th in Defensive Real Passing Yards/Attempt. They're also first in Bendability, so they're making opponents work for every yard. 

While Love is one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL, he is battling a knee injury and hasn't played since Week 1. This is a perfect under spot for the quarterback.