The Cold, Hard Football Facts have successfully predicted the outcome of NFL games and seasons for over 20 years. In 2021, we identified the Bengals as an early Super Bowl contender, and even though they came up short, they made an unprecedented run to the big game.
In 2021, the Bengals didn't have the best defense according to our measures, and they surely didn't have a great offensive line. The reason Cincinnati went to the Super Bowl in 2021 is the same reason they have an excellent chance to become the 7th team since 1979 to make the playoffs after starting 0-3.
This reason shouldn't be a surprise. It's Joe Burrow.
Burrow is one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL, and he is playing some of the best football of his career. The quarterback is sixth in passing yards with 1,759 yards and fourth in touchdowns with 14.
When it comes to the Cold, Hard Football Facts proprietary stats, Burrow ranks even higher than traditional stats. He is fourth in Real Quarterback Rating and third in Offensive Passer Rating.
The Bengals also rank seventh in Scoreability and ninth in Real Passing Yards/Attempt. Cincinnati continues to impress on offense, and they're only getting better as a team.
We know what you're thinking...
Burrow may be playing well, but the defense is bad. Yes, Cincinnati's defense isn't scoring the best in our proprietary stats, but they're improving.
The team is 15th in Bendability, up from 28th in Week 4. This stat measures how hard a defense makes the opposing offense work for points, and the Bengals are getting better.
They have allowed just 21 points in the past two weeks, and even though it was against the Giants and Browns, they're still building confidence. Their Week 8 matchup against the Eagles will be a significant challenge, but they have the quarterback advantage, and they have a surging defense.
A great quarterback, and improving defense is a recipe for a lot of success in the second half of the season.
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Tanner Kern breaks down the biggest news from the NFL world, discusses fantasy football stategy, and gives his future bets for the 2022 season on the debut of the CHFF Show.