The San Francisco 49ers will host the Los Angeles Rams in a rematch of last year’s NFC Championship Game. The Niners will enter as 1.5-point favorites over the Rams, showing this is a pick’em game. If you check out the game capsule on Cold, Hard Football Facts, there are very few categories that stand out for bets.
These teams are even in the stats, and this makes betting difficult. However, we’ve identified two plays that are extremely reasonable for MNF based on our proprietary stats. Let’s break down the game!
Nevertheless, there are still a lot of metrics Los Angeles needs to improve in to get back to the top of the NFL. The one area where the Rams have shined has been in Rusher Rating Differential. The franchise is second in the NFL in this statistic, and it has been the most indicative category for winning in 2022.
Under Predictive Rate of Victory, teams that win the Rusher Rating Differential battle are victorious 66% of the time. Los Angeles is in a difficult spot on the road, but if they control the clock and the line of scrimmage, they will win the football game.
He has only gone over this total once in 2022, but he has been within 10 yards twice. The area where we’re looking tonight is at his longest pass, which is set at 36.5 yards. His longest pass on the year was 32 yards against the Cardinals in a 20-12 win.
When the 49ers and Rams face off, the run game is what sets the tone. Additionally, San Francisco ranks 13th in Defensive Real Passing Yards/Attempt. They rally to the football and don’t allow the big play over the top.
Good luck in whatever you choose to bet on Monday Night Football!
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Tanner Kern breaks down the biggest news from the NFL world, discusses fantasy football stategy, and gives his future bets for the 2022 season on the debut of the CHFF Show.