NFL Week 1 Prop Wagers

Tanner Kern

Americans received a small taste of football on Thursday night when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defeated the Dallas Cowboys by a score of 31-29. Tom Brady drove Tampa Bay down the field in the final minute to seal the victory for his team.


There were great prop betting opportunities on Thursday, but we were limited as bettors because of the single contest. There are 14 contests on Sunday and numerous prop betting opportunities to win big.


Here are the bets you should be putting your money on this Sunday!


Mac Jones Over 28.5 Pass Attempts


Mac Jones shocked the world when he won the starting quarterback position for the New England Patriots. Jones may be humble, but he is oozing with confidence, and that’s why he won the job.


The total on Jones’s passing attempts is positioned at 28.5. If Jones goes under this total, I will be shocked. Josh McDaniels will likely use the quarterback as a game manager in week one, but he is still going to throw the football.


Jones will be asked to run play-action and excel in the short to intermediate passing game. If New England can stay beyond the sticks, this will give Jones more opportunities to throw the ball.


With Cam Newton in 2020, the Patriots averaged 27.5 passing attempts per game. Jones is accurate, and this will give McDaniels more confidence to throw the ball down the field.


Patrick Mahomes Over 2.5 Touchdowns


Patrick Mahomes is the best quarterback in the National Football League, and his performance in the Super Bowl solidified this fact. The quarterback is a baller who can escape pressure and make explosive plays regularly.


The Cleveland Browns will travel to Kansas City for the opener, and this will likely be a shootout. In 15 games last season, Mahomes threw 38 touchdowns, so expect him to be the main Chiefs contributor for the high scoring affair on Sunday.


The Browns improved their defense with many top-tier front seven and secondary players like S John Johnson, DE Jadeveon Clowney, CB Troy Hill, and DE Takkarist McKinley and drafting CB Greg Newsome II and LB Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah. Yet, these players will not be able to combat Mahomes finding the end zone.


Additionally, Cleveland is going to have to score to stay in the game, giving the Chiefs more incentive to throw the ball downfield.


Jakobi Meyers Over 3.5 Receptions


If you are not putting your house on Jakobi Meyers to catch four touchdowns on Sunday, you need to reassess your betting strategy. This bet is a steal for Meyers because he will be Jones’ primary target in 2021.


Jones finished the season strong despite not having a quarterback who could consistently get him the football. Miami has a talented secondary, but McDaniels is an excellent play-caller who knows how to expose defenses.


If the Patriots are successfully running the football, it will open up some play-action shots down the field to Meyers. The receiver went over 3.5 receptions nine times out of 12 starts last season, and Jones’ efficiency will increase this total.


Best of luck betting on the opening weekend of the NFL!