Monday Night Breakdown: Chiefs Offensive Talent Should Win Out

Matthew Malec

We've got a Monday Night showdown between two reeling AFC West squads as the Chiefs and Chargers head to the altitude in Mexico City to try to get their seasons back on track.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers  (N) (+4)


The Chiefs continue to put up gaudy yardage totals, but their efficiency has dipped from elite to merely very good as they rank ninth in Scoreability. However, even with two and a half games of Matt Moore, KC rank second in Real Passing Yards per Attempt and fourth in Real Quarterback Rating. The talk show analysis of Patrick Mahomes not being a top tier player is absolute nonsense and it is rooted in bad faith arguments based on team results. This offense is still a machine,

The Chargers defense has been solid but short of expectations this season, sitting 12th in Bendability but just 22nd in Defensive Real Passing Yards per Attempt. Even their vaunted defensive line has been inconsistent, ranking 12th in the Defensive Hog Index, a big game from Joey Bosa and company will be a prerequisite to having any shot at containing Mahomes.


Philip Rivers has battled inconsistency this season, and with moving parts everywhere on the offensive line as well as Melvin Gordon and Hunter Henry missing time, it's hard to blame him. All that said, he still sits eighth in Real Passing Yards per Attempt, so blaming him for the Chargers struggles feel unfair. Los Angles have really been plagued by red zone trouble, ranking 24th in Scoreability. With Henry and Mike Williams as big bodies, that feels like something that should improve as the season progresses. 

The Chiefs defense is where virtually all criticism of this team should be directed, placing 20th in Defensive Real Quarterback Rating and 17th in Bendability. Those numbers are bad if not completely incompetent, but their 30th place ranking in Defensive Rusher Rating is keeping their mighty offense off the field, which is obviously an issue when you have Patrick Mahomes on your team. The NFL is a passing league for sure, but the Chiefs cannot pass while their offense gets cold on the sideline.


Side: Sure, they have some issues, but passing offense wins football games and the Chiefs still have the league's best playmaker at the quarterback spot. They should be able to take care of business and cover the four points down south of the border.

Total: There should be plenty of points with both offenses holding key edges and the altitude (higher than Denver) giving kickers some extra leg while tiring defenses out faster. we'll go over 52.5

Prop: Austin Ekeler has been the Chargers best back this year, particularly in the passing game. Expect him to see the field plenty and go over 34 receiving yards.