The Cold, Hard Football Facts have successfully predicted the outcome of NFL games and seasons for over 20 years. As successful as Cold Hard has been, even we couldn't have predicted the Raiders dethroning the Ravens in Baltimore last week as an 8.5 point underdog. 

The Ravens handed a game away to an inferior opponent, and now they're in a must-win contest against the Cowboys in Dallas. Mike McCarthy's team is coming off a blowout loss to the Saints at home last week, and they will be looking to respond. 

In terms of our proprietary stats, this game is very close to call. However, Derrick Henry does have a massive mismatch against the Cowboys defense, which we're attacking in the props market. 

Henry's rushing yards prop is set at 68.5 on Sunday. John Harbaugh has stated that the team didn't bring in Henry to be the only weapon in the run game, but he should have the hot hand on Sunday. 

Alvin Kamara carried the ball 20 times for 115 yards with three touchdowns last week, and Henry has the same capability. Even with the Cowboys stars on the defensive line, they have been blown off the football all season. 

Dallas is 32nd in Defensive Rusher Rating and 29th in Bendability. Defensive Rusher Rating measures how well a team stops the run, and Bendability is how hard a defense makes their opponent work to score. 

Dallas has given up explosive plays, and many have been on the ground. This is the perfect combination for Henry to win the line of scrimmage. Take the over of 68.5 rushing yards.