When most teams lose their starting option at any position, they become much worse. This has yet to be the case for the Bills following the loss of Dawson Knox to a wrist injury. Knox is a valuable receiving weapon for Josh Allen, but rookie Dalton Kincaid has filled the void.
Kincaid is the next superstar tight end and has proved it over the past three weeks. The Cold, Hard Football Facts have been beneficial for prop betting this season. Our CORE PLAYS have hit at 60%, and we're coming off a 7-3 week for props.
We're looking at Kincaid to have a big night against the Broncos. Kincaid's receiving line continues to creep up, but bookmakers must catch up with his success. Kincaid's yardage line is listed at 54.5 against Denver, and he has hit this in the past three games.
According to the Cold, Hard Football Facts, he has one of his best matchups of the season tonight as well against the Broncos. Denver ranks 32nd in Defensive Passer Rating, 30th in Defensive Real Quarterback Rating, and 29th in Defensive Real Passing Yards/Attempt.
They have yet to be able to stop powerful passing attacks outside of their last game against the Chiefs. However, Buffalo's weapons are much more potent than Kansas City's, and Patrick Mahomes was battling the flu against the Broncos.
Kincaid shouldn't get 11 targets as he did last week against the Bengals tonight if the Bills take control of this contest, but he should be one of Allen's primary targets. This will lead to the tight end going over 54.5 receiving yards.