Many hopeless romantics desire to see the Commanders face the Bills in the Super Bowl. While this would be an intriguing matchup, we don't expect it at Cold, Hard Football Facts. A statistical argument can be made for the Bills, but it's hard to do the same for Washington.
For over twenty years, the Cold, Hard Football Facts have successfully predicted the outcome of NFL games and seasons. Cold Hard has been so accurate with predictions over the years because our stats don't rely on romanticism. They show which team is better, and we bet accordingly.
Before breaking this game down, it's essential to remember that anything can happen in the NFL. That said, Jayden Daniels has to play the game of his life, and the Eagles need to make mistakes for the Commanders to pull off the upset.
Washington's defense has been excellent at forcing turnovers over the past two weeks, which is why they're in the NFC Championship. If the Eagles protect the ball, they shouldn't have many issues throughout the contest.
Philadelphia is the top team in the Quality Stats Power Rankings, while the Commanders are 10th. Washington is 19th in Defensive Passer Rating, 20th in Defensive Rusher Rating, and 30th in Total Team Yards Allowed.
They will struggle against Saquon Barkley, as they did in the season's first two meetings. Additionally, the Eagles have the best Rusher Rating Differential in the NFL, a huge indicator of winning games.
Philadelphia has an elite defense, ranking third in Defensive Passer Rating and first in Defensive Rusher Rating. Philadelphia has the edge in nearly every stat except for Real Quarterback Rating.
Daniels can win on Sunday, but Hurts isn't far behind. Daniels is fourth in Real QBR, and Hurts is fifth. Don't be fooled by the eye test. While Daniels looks much better than Hurts, the Eagles quarterback has been just as efficient when it counts.
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Tanner Kern breaks down the biggest news from the NFL world, discusses fantasy football stategy, and gives his future bets for the 2022 season on the debut of the CHFF Show.