The Cold, Hard Football Facts have successfully predicted the outcome of NFL games and seasons for over 20 years. The CHFF CORE PLAYS started strong with an 11-7 record in Week 1 Sunday. The CHFF stats get stronger by the week, and now we have some outside data to work with, like touches and targets. 

The Cold, Hard Football Facts are pointing to Rachaad White to have a big day against the Bears on Sunday. His total is listed at 53.5 rushing yards against the Bears. 

The Buccaneers offensive line struggled last week, as White only averaged 2.3 yards per carry. However, he ran the ball 17 times, making it clear that he is the RB1 in Tampa Bay. 

The Buccaneers faced the Vikings, and Minnesota looked like an improved rush defense from a year ago. Brian Flores is the new DC, bringing intense energy to the unit. Additionally, Tampa Bay is working through a new rotation of offensive linemen, so it makes sense there were Week 1 struggles.

The matchup against Chicago should be much more favorable for White. The Bears ranked last in Defensive Rusher Rating in 2022-23. They also showed no desire to chase the football in Week 1 against the Packers. Green Bay smacked them in the mouth, and we should see the Buccaneers try to establish the ground game at home. 

Baker Mayfield is a winner, but he isn't a great quarterback. The best way to get him going is by pounding the rock, which should be an emphasis from Tampa Bay's coaching staff. 

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