Thanksgiving football betting was rough for some people and great for others. No matter what side of the line you fall on, it’s time to win on some props. Prop bets give us a great chance to prevail because it only involves individual players.
The stats have helped us hit a lot of props this year. Let’s keep up the momentum on Sunday.
Is Jalen Hurts a franchise quarterback? This answer is still up in the air, but the Philadelphia Eagles are rolling. They have another chance for a big win on Sunday over the struggling New York Giants.
Hurts has only gone over 205.5 yards once in his past five games. However, the numbers are saying to ride with Hurts on Sunday. The Eagles rank fourth in Scoreability, meaning they can score quickly with big plays.
The Giants do not defend the pass well, and this was apparent when Tom Brady threw for 307 yards last week. All Hurts needs is a few big passing plays against a deflated team on Sunday to go over 205.5 passing yards.
The Pittsburgh Steelers proved they could score last week in droves against the Los Angeles Chargers. However, they also showed many holes in their defense, especially in the secondary.
Burrow has gone over this total four times in the past five games. He will compete against the 25th ranked unit for Defensive Passer Rating. If Pittsburgh can keep up the scoring with Cincinnati, Burrow will easily surpass this total.
Last week, I took the under on Jonathan Taylor’s rushing total, which was very wrong. I assumed the Bills, a team with one of the best rushing defenses in the NFL, would shut down Taylor.
However, Taylor made his case for MVP, scoring five touchdowns last week against Buffalo. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have the third-ranked unit for Defensive Rusher Rating.
The Colts have the third-best Offensive Rusher Rating in football, so this is an even matchup in the trenches. The numbers would likely say to fade Taylor, but the Colts cannot win unless they run the football.
Indianapolis is committed to hammering the rock, and they do not care about the defensive front they are playing. I am no longer betting under Taylor’s rushing total.
Nick Chub going over 81.5 rushing yards is my best bet on this entire list. The Browns will face the Ravens in a critical AFC North showdown. At this point in the year, the best teams to wager are the franchises that run the football.
Cleveland has been inconsistent in 2021, but they love to run the football with Nick Chubb. The Browns have the best Offensive Rusher Rating and the fourth Offensive Hog Index in the NFL.
The Ravens have the 30th Defensive Rusher Rating in the NFL. This is a recipe for Nick Chubb to go over way over his total. In his past two games, he has a combined 267 yards.
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Tanner Kern breaks down the biggest news from the NFL world, discusses fantasy football stategy, and gives his future bets for the 2022 season on the debut of the CHFF Show.