There is no denying that the Cincinnati Bengals are the Cinderella story of the 2021-22 season. General Joseph Lee Burrow and the Bengals will march into Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday to face the Chiefs.
Kansas City is thriving, and they showed their explosiveness on Sunday against the Bills. However, seven points is a large spread to cover in the playoffs, and this is the points they have been given on Sunday.
Most tickets feature Kansas City at -7, but I would not count out the Bengals based on the Cold, Hard Football Facts. The most indicative stat of winning in our proprietary stats is Real Quarterback Rating, which was introduced in 2011.
The Bengals rank fifth in this category, which means they have an advantage over the Chiefs in eighth. This is why Cincinnati was able to take down the one seed last week while giving up nine sacks.
The Titans' front seven is tougher than the Chiefs, so the Bengals should do a better job protecting. Additionally, they should emphasize protection in practice throughout the week.
Neither team is great on defense, and both the Bengals and Chiefs have similar strategies. These teams win by scoring points.
The numbers and past results show Cincinnati can play with Kansas City. Arrowhead Stadium is going to be loud, but in the playoffs, I feel very comfortable with the Bengals, a team of destiny, being within a touchdown.
Do not forget Real Quarterback Rating when it comes to placing a spread wager in this matchup.
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